Atalanta vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
36.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
FIO
2 - 0
ATL
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ATL
3 - 0
NAP
19%
23%
58%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 0
ATL
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 0
CAG
48%
27%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
NAP
3 - 1
ATL
79%
14%
7%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 0
CAT
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 0
UDI
45%
25%
31%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 2
PAR
31%
28%
41%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
LAZ
2 - 1
PAR
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
LIV
0 - 3
PAR
31%
27%
42%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |