Atalanta vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
PAL
2 - 1
ATL
66%
20%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CES
0 - 1
ATL
33%
28%
39%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 2
JUV
27%
27%
46%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
LAZ
2 - 0
ATL
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 2
ACM
20%
25%
55%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
LEC
0 - 0
BOL
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
UDI
2 - 1
LEC
69%
19%
13%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LEC
1 - 0
INT
17%
24%
60%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
LEC
2 - 2
CHI
35%
28%
37%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
FIO
0 - 1
LEC
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |