Atalanta vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
13.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
EMP
3 - 0
ATL
43%
27%
31%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
ATL
1 - 0
MOD
67%
21%
12%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2010 |
TRI
0 - 1
ATL
23%
28%
49%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
ATL
4 - 1
PAD
63%
23%
14%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
ATL
0 - 1
LIV
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
CRO
2 - 1
LIV
36%
28%
37%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
FRO
2 - 3
CRO
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
CRO
0 - 1
PES
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
EMP
0 - 0
CRO
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
CRO
0 - 1
ABN
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |