Atalanta Sub 19 vs Varese Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
VER
0 - 1
ATA
18%
22%
60%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
ATA
2 - 1
UDI
70%
18%
12%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
SAS
0 - 2
ATA
20%
23%
57%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
ATA
3 - 0
MIL
38%
25%
37%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
BOL
1 - 3
ATA
46%
25%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Varese Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 3
SAS
69%
18%
13%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 0
VAR
56%
24%
20%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 1
MOD
76%
16%
8%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
PAD
0 - 0
VAR
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
VAR
0 - 1
INT
28%
25%
47%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |