Atalaiense vs AREPA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
20.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalaiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SAM
1 - 0
ATA
81%
13%
7%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
ATA
0 - 1
MOC
13%
19%
69%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
VPE
2 - 3
ATA
45%
23%
32%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
PER
5 - 1
ATA
64%
19%
17%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ATA
2 - 2
GOL
33%
24%
44%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AREPA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ARE
1 - 1
MUG
34%
23%
43%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
ALM
3 - 0
ARE
86%
10%
4%
|
6 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ARE
0 - 1
GLO
9%
16%
76%
|
6 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
SAM
4 - 0
ARE
85%
10%
5%
|
6 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ARE
0 - 2
MOC
10%
17%
73%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | -1 |