Atlético Madrileño vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
14.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Madrileño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
VEC
4 - 0
ATB
45%
26%
30%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
ATB
3 - 2
RAY
32%
28%
39%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +2 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
ATB
1 - 1
RMC
23%
25%
53%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
DEP
1 - 1
ATB
34%
27%
39%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
ATB
1 - 1
FUE
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
CDO
3 - 2
LEG
35%
28%
37%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 0
CDO
47%
28%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
ALC
1 - 0
CDO
54%
25%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
CDO
3 - 1
UDF
56%
25%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
LAN
0 - 1
CDO
72%
18%
10%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +2 |