Macastre vs Loriguilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
60.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
9%
1-3
7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macastre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
FUE
4 - 1
MAC
43%
22%
35%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
MAC
0 - 3
CAM
21%
22%
57%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
VDM
3 - 0
MAC
79%
13%
9%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
MAC
0 - 2
CAU
18%
21%
62%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
ATU
0 - 1
MAC
47%
21%
32%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Loriguilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
CLU
0 - 2
LOR
22%
21%
57%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
LOR
4 - 1
REQ
33%
22%
45%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
RIB
3 - 1
LOR
85%
10%
5%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
SAL
4 - 2
LOR
23%
20%
57%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
LOR
1 - 0
FUE
80%
12%
8%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |