Atco. Deva vs EMD Santillana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
56.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atco. Deva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
COL
1 - 0
DEV
37%
25%
38%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
DEV
0 - 2
GAM
18%
22%
60%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
DEV
3 - 3
REO
61%
22%
18%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
VEL
1 - 2
DEV
61%
20%
19%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
DEV
1 - 1
MER
32%
26%
42%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
EMD Santillana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
REO
71%
18%
11%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
VEL
2 - 0
SAN
30%
24%
46%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 4
MER
61%
22%
17%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
REV
1 - 0
SAN
16%
22%
62%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
SDT
63%
20%
17%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |