Callosa vs Calpe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
72.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Callosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
MUT
2 - 1
CAL
81%
13%
7%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 3
OLI
15%
20%
65%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
GAN
0 - 1
CAL
30%
24%
46%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 3
CIU
33%
23%
43%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
UDO
1 - 0
CAL
26%
22%
52%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Calpe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
CAL
3 - 0
CUL
85%
10%
4%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ALT
2 - 3
CAL
15%
19%
66%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 0
XER
76%
15%
9%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
FIN
0 - 5
CAL
8%
15%
77%
|
26 | 7 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 1
RAF
64%
19%
17%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |