ASWH vs Xerxes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
48.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASWH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
RVV
3 - 3
ASW
34%
24%
43%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ASW
2 - 0
KLO
76%
15%
9%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
NIV
3 - 6
ASW
16%
20%
64%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
ASW
1 - 1
EXC
61%
20%
19%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
KOZ
1 - 0
ASW
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Xerxes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
XER
4 - 3
ZWA
79%
14%
7%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
NIE
2 - 3
XER
15%
22%
63%
|
61 | 29 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
XER
5 - 0
ACH
80%
14%
6%
|
61 | 33 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
HOE
2 - 1
XER
16%
23%
62%
|
62 | 38 | 24 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
XER
8 - 0
LRC
81%
14%
6%
|
62 | 25 | 37 | 0 |