ASWH vs Katwijk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASWH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
ASW
4 - 2
BVO
27%
23%
51%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
DTO
4 - 2
ASW
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
LIS
1 - 0
ASW
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
ASW
1 - 1
CAP
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
ASW
5 - 1
WSV
65%
19%
16%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Katwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
KAT
1 - 2
CAP
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
KOZ
2 - 3
KAT
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
KAT
1 - 1
NOO
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
DET
3 - 2
KAT
62%
19%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
KLO
1 - 4
KAT
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |