Aswan SC vs Al Ittihad Alexandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
50.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
8º
18º
16º
43
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
83 | 83 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 33 |
17º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aswan SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
ASW
2 - 2
MSC
78%
16%
7%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2022 |
ASW
1 - 1
ALU
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
KIM
1 - 2
ASW
20%
25%
55%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2022 |
ZAM
2 - 1
ASW
70%
18%
11%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
ALF
1 - 3
ASW
12%
23%
66%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Al Ittihad Alexandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
GHA
1 - 1
ALI
22%
28%
51%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
ALI
0 - 1
MOK
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
ZAM
1 - 1
ALI
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ALI
3 - 0
NBE
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
ISM
1 - 0
ALI
41%
27%
33%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |