ASV Dronten vs Achilles '12 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
27.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+98%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
6º
3º
35
7º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 8 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASV Dronten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
DZO
1 - 1
ASV
56%
20%
24%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ASV
2 - 0
VVH
18%
20%
63%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +2 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
ASV
2 - 1
DOS
23%
21%
56%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
HIE
1 - 2
ASV
79%
13%
9%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
ASV
1 - 2
NUN
36%
23%
41%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Achilles '12
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
QUI
6 - 0
ACH
93%
5%
2%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ACH
1 - 2
DZO
45%
22%
34%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
ACH
2 - 1
RIG
25%
23%
52%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
GER
1 - 0
ACH
79%
14%
7%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ACH
3 - 0
BAB
25%
23%
51%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +2 |