Astur vs UP Langreo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
LLA
1 - 0
AST
16%
24%
60%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
AST
4 - 0
NAV
80%
14%
6%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
SIE
1 - 1
AST
27%
26%
47%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
HIS
0 - 3
AST
11%
22%
66%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
AST
2 - 1
MOS
68%
20%
12%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
UP Langreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
UPL
3 - 0
HIS
78%
16%
6%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
MOS
1 - 0
UPL
37%
27%
36%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
UPL
1 - 1
AND
82%
14%
4%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
GIN
0 - 1
UPL
25%
28%
48%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
UPL
2 - 0
LEA
57%
24%
20%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |