Astur vs Ribadesella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
50.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1997 |
NAI
3 - 0
AST
85%
12%
3%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1997 |
AST
2 - 1
NAR
46%
25%
29%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1997 |
CAU
3 - 0
AST
92%
7%
1%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1997 |
TUI
1 - 1
AST
80%
15%
6%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1996 |
AST
0 - 4
SMA
16%
25%
59%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ribadesella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1997 |
RIB
3 - 0
COL
51%
24%
25%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1997 |
NAV
4 - 1
RIB
58%
23%
19%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1997 |
RIB
2 - 0
HIS
65%
21%
14%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1997 |
RIB
1 - 3
LEA
30%
26%
45%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1996 |
TUR
2 - 0
RIB
58%
24%
18%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |