Astur vs Llanes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
32.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ROC
2 - 0
AST
40%
25%
34%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
AST
3 - 1
BOA
69%
18%
13%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
TUR
2 - 0
AST
31%
23%
46%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
AST
1 - 0
COM
59%
22%
19%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
PCF
1 - 2
AST
17%
22%
61%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Llanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
VAL
0 - 0
LLA
40%
26%
34%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
LLA
1 - 1
ROC
58%
22%
20%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
BOA
1 - 1
LLA
20%
23%
57%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
LLA
5 - 2
TUR
65%
19%
16%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
COM
0 - 0
LLA
31%
25%
44%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |