Astrio vs Tölö analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
14.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
3º
3º
30
7º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
46 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
5º
|
69.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
7º
|
47.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
54.5% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
44.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 29 |
13º
|
59.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 38.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 52.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 9% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
VAR
2 - 0
AST
26%
24%
50%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
AST
1 - 1
HIT
82%
11%
7%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
OBK
0 - 3
AST
49%
23%
28%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
HFF
2 - 0
AST
44%
24%
32%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
AST
3 - 0
LAH
86%
9%
5%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Tölö
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
TIF
3 - 1
IKT
28%
22%
50%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
TIF
3 - 0
LIS
45%
22%
33%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
VAR
2 - 2
TIF
58%
19%
23%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
OBK
2 - 1
TIF
79%
12%
9%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
TIF
5 - 0
HIT
42%
21%
36%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +2 |