Astrio vs Boljan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.9%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.4%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.9%
4.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+108%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
12º
4º
12
13º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 53 |
1º
|
65% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 49 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 49 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 45 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 45 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 41 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 40 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 39 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 36 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 31 |
10º
|
55% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 26 |
11º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 26 |
12º
|
41% | |
|
|
13º
|
12 | 16 |
13º
|
49.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 14 |
14º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
5.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
94% | 5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 6.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 88.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
JON
1 - 3
AST
20%
19%
61%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2025 |
AST
0 - 3
LAH
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
LIN
2 - 1
AST
30%
21%
49%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
AST
1 - 1
QVI
51%
23%
26%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
AST
5 - 0
JON
70%
16%
14%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Boljan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2025 |
IFB
0 - 1
LIS
13%
17%
71%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2025 |
IFB
2 - 0
JON
9%
14%
77%
|
11 | 31 | 20 | +5 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
OBK
4 - 1
IFB
92%
6%
2%
|
11 | 41 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
IFB
1 - 3
FRO
9%
14%
78%
|
11 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
VAR
3 - 0
IFB
88%
8%
4%
|
12 | 34 | 22 | -1 |