Astrea vs Recanatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CIT
1 - 1
AST
40%
25%
35%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
AST
3 - 1
FID
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CIV
0 - 0
AST
59%
23%
18%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
AST
2 - 1
TER
37%
24%
40%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
AST
2 - 2
PRO
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
REC
0 - 0
SAN
45%
26%
29%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
RCA
1 - 2
REC
42%
27%
31%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
REC
3 - 3
ISE
39%
27%
34%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
AMI
1 - 1
REC
28%
26%
45%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SSS
3 - 2
REC
60%
25%
16%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |