Astrea vs Palestrina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
10.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
SOR
0 - 1
AST
39%
25%
36%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
POR
1 - 1
AST
23%
24%
54%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
AST
2 - 3
ANZ
68%
18%
14%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
ARZ
1 - 2
AST
33%
27%
40%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
AST
4 - 1
SEL
67%
19%
14%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Palestrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
PAL
2 - 4
SEL
48%
23%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
CYN
1 - 0
PAL
57%
22%
21%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
PAL
0 - 0
ARZ
45%
24%
32%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
SMM
1 - 1
PAL
62%
20%
18%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
PAL
1 - 1
SAN
14%
19%
67%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | +1 |