2. Division Round 15

Astrakhan vs FK Rostov II analysis

Astrakhan FK Rostov II
48 ELO 49
-10.2% Tilt -6.3%
6130º General ELO ranking 5359º
81º Country ELO ranking 68º
ELO win probability
34.6%
Astrakhan
25.1%
Draw
40.4%
FK Rostov II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
Astrakhan
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
40.3%
Win probability
FK Rostov II
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Astrakhan
+8%
-17%
FK Rostov II

Points and table prediction

Astrakhan
Their league position
FK Rostov II
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
12º
37
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
SKChF Sevastopol
43
50
26%
FC Kuban Holding
42
49
32%
Dinamo Stavropol
42
49
34%
Pobeda Khasavyurt
44
48
30.5%
FK Rostov II
37
44
61%
Druzhba Maykop
33
40
46.5%
Astrakhan
30
37
24%
Nart Cherkessk
30
37
21%
FC Sochi-2
31
35
21.5%
Rubin Yalta
11º
25
35
10º
25.5%
Legion Makhachkala
10º
27
32
11º
46%
Angusht
12º
20
24
12º
97%
Spartak Nalchik
13º
14
17
13º
97.5%
Dynamo Makhachkala II
14º
2
5
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Astrakhan
FK Rostov II
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Astrakhan
FK Rostov II
Spartak Nalchik
Legion Makhachkala
SKChF Sevastopol
FC Sochi-2
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Astrakhan
Astrakhan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jun. 2025
RUB
Rubin Yalta
0 - 1
Astrakhan
AST
49%
24%
27%
45 48 3 0
07 Jun. 2025
ANG
Angusht
1 - 2
Astrakhan
AST
25%
27%
48%
44 37 7 +1
31 May. 2025
AST
Astrakhan
2 - 1
Legion Makhachkala
LEG
35%
26%
38%
42 49 7 +2
24 May. 2025
NAL
Spartak Nalchik
0 - 2
Astrakhan
AST
35%
23%
42%
41 37 4 +1
17 May. 2025
AST
Astrakhan
1 - 1
FC Sochi-2
SOC
65%
18%
17%
41 30 11 0

Matches

FK Rostov II
FK Rostov II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jun. 2025
ANG
Angusht
2 - 3
FK Rostov II
ROS
18%
25%
57%
50 36 14 0
07 Jun. 2025
NAL
Spartak Nalchik
0 - 2
FK Rostov II
ROS
24%
25%
51%
50 36 14 0
31 May. 2025
ROS
FK Rostov II
1 - 0
FC Sochi-2
SOC
65%
20%
15%
49 30 19 +1
24 May. 2025
SKC
SKChF Sevastopol
2 - 2
FK Rostov II
ROS
42%
25%
33%
49 49 0 0
17 May. 2025
ROS
FK Rostov II
1 - 0
Druzhba Maykop
DMA
55%
24%
21%
48 44 4 +1