Aston Villa vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
30.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ASV
2 - 1
LEI
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
HUL
2 - 0
ASV
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
ASV
1 - 2
CHL
10%
19%
71%
|
80 | 93 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ARS
5 - 0
ASV
77%
15%
7%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ASV
2 - 1
BOU
48%
25%
26%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
BBU
4 - 1
STO
36%
28%
36%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
STO
1 - 4
MAC
16%
22%
62%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
NEW
1 - 1
STO
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
STO
3 - 1
QPR
67%
21%
12%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2015 |
ROC
1 - 4
STO
25%
26%
49%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | +1 |