Aston Villa vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
8%
4-2
4%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.6%
10.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1932 |
WOL
2 - 4
ASV
37%
22%
40%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1932 |
ASV
1 - 3
WOL
83%
10%
7%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1932 |
DER
0 - 0
ASV
55%
20%
25%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1932 |
ASV
4 - 0
BBU
75%
14%
12%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1932 |
LEE
1 - 1
ASV
38%
24%
38%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1932 |
MID
2 - 2
SHE
46%
22%
32%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1932 |
BBU
4 - 2
MID
66%
17%
18%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1932 |
MID
0 - 1
LEE
56%
21%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1932 |
SHW
2 - 1
MID
70%
16%
14%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1932 |
MID
3 - 1
WBA
48%
22%
30%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |