Aston Villa vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
61.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2020 |
EVE
1 - 1
ASV
68%
20%
13%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2020 |
ASV
2 - 0
CRY
35%
26%
40%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2020 |
ASV
0 - 3
MUD
15%
22%
63%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2020 |
LIV
2 - 0
ASV
87%
9%
3%
|
76 | 92 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
ASV
0 - 1
WOL
29%
25%
46%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
ARS
2 - 0
MAC
26%
23%
51%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2020 |
ARS
2 - 1
LIV
24%
23%
53%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2020 |
TOT
2 - 1
ARS
38%
25%
38%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2020 |
ARS
1 - 1
LEI
50%
23%
27%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
WOL
0 - 2
ARS
32%
25%
43%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | +1 |