Asti FC vs Lavagnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
41.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Asti FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
BOR
2 - 1
AST
72%
17%
11%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
AST
0 - 1
SES
54%
23%
24%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 1
AST
62%
22%
17%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
AST
0 - 2
ALB
59%
23%
18%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
RAB
2 - 0
AST
64%
19%
16%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
LAV
4 - 1
APD
73%
17%
10%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
VER
0 - 1
LAV
22%
24%
53%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
VFC
0 - 2
LAV
45%
24%
31%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
LAV
1 - 0
DER
62%
22%
16%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
LAV
1 - 0
VAO
46%
25%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +2 |