Asti FC vs Derthona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
26.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Asti FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
BEL
3 - 1
AST
59%
21%
20%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
AST
0 - 0
SAC
54%
24%
23%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SES
2 - 0
AST
36%
26%
38%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -3 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
AST
3 - 0
ARG
37%
25%
38%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
NOV
2 - 1
AST
40%
25%
35%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
DER
1 - 1
CUN
28%
25%
47%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
LAV
2 - 0
DER
62%
22%
16%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
DER
4 - 2
BOR
20%
25%
55%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +3 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ACQ
1 - 3
DER
48%
27%
25%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 0
DER
67%
20%
13%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +1 |