Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
58%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
7º
10º
10º
59
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Asteras Tripolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
GIA
2 - 1
TRI
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
PAO
2 - 2
TRI
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
TRI
1 - 3
ATR
51%
24%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
TRI
0 - 0
PGE
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
PAN
1 - 0
TRI
67%
21%
12%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
AEK
2 - 0
PAO
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
LEV
0 - 2
AEK
29%
26%
45%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
AEK
2 - 0
GIA
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
AEK
1 - 0
ATR
73%
18%
9%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ARI
0 - 2
AEK
33%
27%
40%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |