Astana vs Tobol Kostanay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
26.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
2º
7º
4º
12
1º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 43 |
1º
|
37% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 42 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 40 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
|
6º
|
12 | 34 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
12 | 34 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 33 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 32 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 31 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 29 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 29 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 28 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 26 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 26 |
13º
|
29.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
5% | 1.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
24% | 15.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
67% | 77.5% |
|
Relegation
|
4% | 5.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FKZ
0 - 1
AST
28%
24%
48%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SHA
1 - 0
AST
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
AST
0 - 1
FKY
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
ZHE
0 - 2
AST
26%
27%
47%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
AST
2 - 0
FKZ
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
KAI
0 - 3
TOB
30%
25%
45%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
KYZ
0 - 0
TOB
33%
28%
39%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
TOB
4 - 2
FKY
60%
24%
16%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
TOB
2 - 0
FKT
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ORD
1 - 1
TOB
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |