UCL Qualifying Play-offs Final
Global 4-8
Astana vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
41.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
CEL
5 - 0
AST
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
FCA
0 - 3
AST
31%
28%
41%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2017 |
AST
1 - 0
ORD
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
WAR
1 - 0
AST
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
AST
3 - 1
WAR
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
KIL
0 - 2
CEL
11%
19%
70%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
CEL
5 - 0
AST
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 1
CEL
20%
23%
57%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2017 |
CEL
5 - 0
KIL
76%
16%
8%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
CEL
4 - 1
HOM
73%
17%
10%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |