Assumption vs Krung Thonburi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Assumption
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
MUA
1 - 0
ASS
40%
23%
37%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2016 |
NBP
4 - 2
ASS
57%
21%
22%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
THC
0 - 0
ASS
18%
20%
62%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
ASS
1 - 1
NON
74%
16%
10%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
CHU
5 - 3
ASS
43%
24%
34%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Krung Thonburi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
KTH
2 - 0
THC
69%
19%
13%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2016 |
KTH
1 - 1
SKC
56%
23%
21%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
NON
1 - 0
KTH
24%
24%
52%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
KTH
1 - 1
CHU
41%
25%
34%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
HHC
1 - 2
KTH
48%
24%
28%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |