Aspudden-Tellus vs Smedby analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
32.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aspudden-Tellus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
ASP
0 - 5
LIN
23%
21%
55%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
KAR
4 - 1
ASP
39%
22%
40%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
HUD
7 - 2
ASP
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ASP
2 - 3
ASS
36%
22%
41%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
MOT
2 - 3
ASP
68%
16%
16%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Smedby
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
VIM
2 - 2
SME
49%
24%
27%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
SME
0 - 2
SYL
60%
20%
20%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
SOD
1 - 1
SME
48%
21%
31%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
SME
10 - 1
KON
76%
15%
9%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
KAR
0 - 0
SME
48%
23%
29%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |