Aspe UD vs Thader analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
20.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aspe UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ALB
4 - 1
ASP
14%
19%
67%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
ASP
4 - 2
VIL
17%
21%
61%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | +3 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CTS
6 - 2
ASP
53%
22%
25%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
ASP
0 - 2
VIJ
43%
24%
33%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ALM
3 - 2
ASP
41%
24%
36%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
THD
0 - 0
CAL
34%
24%
42%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ALI
0 - 0
THD
43%
24%
33%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ALB
1 - 2
THD
27%
23%
50%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
THD
0 - 1
VIL
15%
21%
64%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CTS
2 - 2
THD
60%
21%
20%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |