Lliga Segona FFCV round 5

Aspe UD vs Atlético Catral analysis

Aspe UD Atlético Catral
21 ELO 20
-2.6% Tilt 4.5%
19798º General ELO ranking 10455º
6846º Country ELO ranking 1078º
ELO win probability
49.9%
Aspe UD
22.1%
Draw
28%
Atlético Catral

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
Aspe UD
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
28%
Win probability
Atlético Catral
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Aspe UD
Atlético Catral
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aspe UD
Aspe UD
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Oct. 2015
TOR
SC Torrevieja
0 - 1
Aspe UD
ASP
38%
23%
39%
20 19 1 0
03 Oct. 2015
ASP
Aspe UD
1 - 1
Bigastro
BIG
35%
23%
42%
20 24 4 0
26 Sep. 2015
PIN
Pinoso
1 - 2
Aspe UD
ASP
28%
22%
50%
20 16 4 0
19 Sep. 2015
ASP
Aspe UD
3 - 0
Santa Pola
SPO
87%
9%
4%
19 9 10 +1
10 May. 2015
ASP
Aspe UD
3 - 2
Rafal
RAF
39%
23%
38%
19 21 2 0

Matches

Atlético Catral
Atlético Catral
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Oct. 2015
ATL
Atlético Catral
2 - 2
Algueña Cf
ALG
57%
21%
23%
20 19 1 0
04 Oct. 2015
ALB
Albaterense
2 - 3
Atlético Catral
ATL
43%
23%
34%
20 18 2 0
27 Sep. 2015
ATL
Atlético Catral
2 - 2
AC Torrellano
ATH
41%
22%
37%
20 21 1 0
19 Sep. 2015
UNI
Carrús UD Ilicitana
5 - 1
Atlético Catral
ATL
52%
22%
27%
21 21 0 -1
10 May. 2015
ALI
Alicante Rvo. A
0 - 4
Atlético Catral
ATL
10%
17%
73%
21 9 12 0