ASOM vs Real Bamako analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
33.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASOM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2021 |
LAF
0 - 0
ASO
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2021 |
ASO
1 - 3
42%
28%
31%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
POL
0 - 2
ASO
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
ASO
2 - 1
KIT
50%
27%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2021 |
ASO
2 - 1
BOU
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Real Bamako
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2021 |
ASR
1 - 0
DUG
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
CDS
0 - 5
ASR
28%
28%
44%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
DOU
1 - 0
ASR
43%
28%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
ASR
3 - 2
LAF
44%
28%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
STA
1 - 0
ASR
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |