ASM Sangarédi vs Wakirya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
25.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
6º
14º
8º
34
5º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 48 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 47 |
2º
|
70.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
69% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
58% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
75% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
75% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
75% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 32 |
12º
|
75% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASM Sangarédi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CIK
3 - 1
ASM
40%
29%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ASM
2 - 2
FEL
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2022 |
ASM
1 - 0
ASH
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
ASM
2 - 3
MIL
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
HOR
2 - 0
ASM
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Wakirya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
FEL
2 - 2
WAC
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
WAC
0 - 1
CIK
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
WAC
0 - 1
HAF
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 2022 |
WAC
0 - 0
SAT
51%
27%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MIL
1 - 1
WAC
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |