St. Valentin vs Kornspitz Pregarten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
47.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
7º
16º
16º
33
11º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 56 |
4º
|
34.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
78% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
7º
|
62% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
92% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
92% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 27 |
14º
|
73% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
73% | |
|
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Valentin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ASV
2 - 1
GRU
21%
21%
58%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
5 - 2
ASV
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
ASV
0 - 1
BAD
15%
19%
66%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
URB
4 - 4
ASV
15%
18%
67%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
SBL
1 - 0
ASV
46%
22%
32%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Kornspitz Pregarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
SPG
2 - 2
UNI
37%
23%
40%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
BAD
3 - 1
SPG
70%
17%
13%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SPG
0 - 0
URB
86%
10%
5%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
OST
4 - 1
SPG
55%
20%
25%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
SPG
5 - 2
WEA
18%
19%
63%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +3 |