Ashton United vs Mossley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
21.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ashton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
MOS
1 - 2
ASH
47%
26%
28%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
ASH
1 - 1
ILK
46%
25%
29%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
RAD
2 - 0
ASH
47%
26%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
ASH
2 - 3
OSS
49%
25%
26%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2006 |
FLE
1 - 1
ASH
69%
19%
12%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Mossley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
FRI
0 - 4
MOS
62%
22%
16%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
MOS
1 - 2
ASH
47%
26%
28%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
BUR
4 - 0
MOS
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
MOS
1 - 2
FRI
31%
27%
43%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
MAT
4 - 1
MOS
57%
24%
20%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |