Ashton United vs Hebburn Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
13.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ashton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
STA
1 - 0
ASH
35%
23%
43%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
ASH
0 - 0
RFC
55%
22%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
ASH
1 - 3
WHI
33%
25%
42%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
MIC
2 - 1
ASH
48%
23%
30%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
SCA
1 - 1
ASH
41%
23%
36%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hebburn Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
OUF
2 - 1
HEB
53%
21%
26%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
HEB
2 - 2
PIC
61%
19%
20%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
YOR
0 - 7
HEB
24%
20%
56%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
STO
2 - 1
HEB
75%
14%
10%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
HEB
0 - 1
FRI
29%
21%
50%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |