Ashton United vs Buxton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ashton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2014 |
DRO
0 - 9
ASH
10%
18%
71%
|
44 | 12 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
ASH
4 - 0
RFC
77%
15%
9%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
ASH
2 - 1
UNM
32%
24%
44%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
WIT
1 - 2
ASH
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
ASH
1 - 0
NAN
48%
23%
29%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Buxton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
BUX
1 - 2
RUS
40%
24%
36%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
BUX
0 - 2
UNM
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
CHO
0 - 0
BUX
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
BUX
1 - 1
FRI
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
WIT
0 - 1
BUX
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |