Ashton United vs Buxton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
40.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ashton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
NOR
1 - 1
ASH
39%
27%
35%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
ASH
1 - 0
EAS
32%
25%
42%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2007 |
ASH
0 - 0
WHI
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
WOR
5 - 2
ASH
45%
27%
28%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
ASH
1 - 2
WIT
31%
26%
43%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Buxton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2007 |
HED
1 - 3
BUX
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
ILK
1 - 2
BUX
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
LIN
1 - 1
BUX
25%
25%
50%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2007 |
LEE
0 - 2
BUX
33%
26%
41%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
BUX
2 - 3
STA
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |