Ashford United vs Cray Valley PM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
27.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ashford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
ASH
1 - 2
WHI
72%
17%
12%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
FAV
3 - 1
ASH
19%
22%
59%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
ASH
4 - 2
RAM
63%
19%
18%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
LAN
1 - 2
ASH
12%
16%
73%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
VCD
1 - 3
ASH
25%
22%
53%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Cray Valley PM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
CRA
0 - 1
FAV
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
VCD
2 - 2
CRA
27%
23%
50%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
CRA
0 - 1
BUR
53%
23%
24%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
SEV
3 - 0
CRA
21%
22%
57%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
CRA
4 - 1
RAM
54%
22%
24%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |