ASFAN vs Nigelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
27%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASFAN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
SAH
1 - 0
ASF
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ASF
1 - 0
DNI
46%
28%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ASF
0 - 1
OLY
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2014 |
GNN
2 - 1
ASF
45%
28%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
AKO
1 - 0
ASF
41%
29%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nigelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
ESP
1 - 1
NIG
27%
30%
43%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
NIG
1 - 0
SAH
45%
29%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
DNI
0 - 1
NIG
43%
29%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
USG
0 - 0
NIG
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
NIG
2 - 0
AKN
65%
22%
14%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |