ASFAN vs Akokana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASFAN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
NIG
0 - 1
ASF
39%
29%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
ASF
0 - 0
POL
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
DNI
1 - 1
ASF
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ASF
1 - 0
RDB
80%
14%
7%
|
60 | 26 | 34 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
LFC
1 - 1
ASF
20%
25%
55%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Akokana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2024 |
AKO
0 - 0
LFC
55%
27%
19%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
AKO
0 - 1
OLY
27%
32%
41%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
POL
0 - 0
AKO
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
RDB
1 - 0
AKO
15%
21%
64%
|
56 | 26 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
AKO
0 - 1
NIG
27%
34%
40%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |