V AFG Sureste round 4

Asenovets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv II analysis

Asenovets Lokomotiv Plovdiv II
26 ELO 29
10.5% Tilt 6.1%
9466º General ELO ranking 8038º
94º Country ELO ranking 77º
ELO win probability
28.8%
Asenovets
21.4%
Draw
49.8%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
Asenovets
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
49.9%
Win probability
Lokomotiv Plovdiv II
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Asenovets
-10%
-41%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv II

ELO progression

Asenovets
Lokomotiv Plovdiv II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Asenovets
Asenovets
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Aug. 2021
ASE
Asenovets
2 - 2
Yambol 1915
YAM
34%
24%
42%
23 31 8 0
14 Aug. 2021
SKM
Sokol Markovo
3 - 0
Asenovets
ASE
72%
16%
12%
24 34 10 -1
07 Aug. 2021
ASE
Asenovets
4 - 0
Levski Karlovo
LEV
18%
20%
62%
20 34 14 +4
28 May. 2019
ASE
Asenovets
3 - 3
Karnobat
KAR
17%
20%
63%
20 33 13 0
23 May. 2019
AKU
Atletik Kuklen
2 - 1
Asenovets
ASE
79%
14%
7%
20 37 17 0

Matches

Lokomotiv Plovdiv II
Lokomotiv Plovdiv II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Aug. 2021
PLP
Lokomotiv Plovdiv II
2 - 4
Sokol Markovo
SKM
42%
22%
36%
33 37 4 0
14 Aug. 2021
LEV
Levski Karlovo
1 - 0
Lokomotiv Plovdiv II
PLP
31%
23%
46%
35 31 4 -2
07 Aug. 2021
PLP
Lokomotiv Plovdiv II
4 - 2
Rozova dolina
ROZ
22%
21%
58%
31 44 13 +4