Asenovets vs Nesebar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
32.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Asenovets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
ROD
0 - 0
ASE
74%
15%
11%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
ASE
0 - 3
FLK
9%
18%
74%
|
28 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
ASE
1 - 0
FKH
7%
16%
77%
|
27 | 59 | 32 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
AKU
3 - 2
ASE
61%
21%
18%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
ASE
2 - 2
BOR
26%
23%
51%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
GIG
1 - 0
NES
60%
22%
19%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
NES
4 - 0
SKM
34%
23%
43%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
LEV
2 - 1
NES
44%
25%
32%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
NES
3 - 2
ROZ
40%
23%
37%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CHE
0 - 0
NES
82%
12%
6%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | 0 |