CAF Champions League Semi-finals
Global 2-3
ASEC Mimosas vs Al Ahly SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
26.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASEC Mimosas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
ALA
2 - 0
ASE
60%
21%
19%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
HEA
0 - 0
ASE
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
ASE
4 - 0
PIR
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
ENY
0 - 0
ASE
48%
24%
28%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
ASE
3 - 0
ENY
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
ALA
2 - 0
ASE
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2006 |
ALA
1 - 1
ALT
63%
22%
14%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
ALA
1 - 0
ENP
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2006 |
ALA
4 - 0
ITT
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
JSK
2 - 2
ALA
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -2 |