Vastese vs Jesina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vastese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 2
ASD
37%
24%
39%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ASD
0 - 1
CAM
37%
25%
38%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
SFF
3 - 0
ASD
50%
21%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
ASD
1 - 1
GIU
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2020 |
CHI
0 - 2
ASD
31%
24%
45%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Jesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
JES
0 - 1
AVE
37%
26%
37%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
UST
2 - 1
JES
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
JES
0 - 2
SAN
20%
24%
56%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
JES
2 - 3
VAS
29%
22%
49%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
REC
3 - 2
JES
74%
16%
11%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |