Troina vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
31%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
ASD
0 - 3
ROT
72%
17%
11%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
ROC
1 - 1
ASD
31%
23%
46%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
ASD
3 - 0
NOC
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
FCI
0 - 1
ASD
26%
23%
51%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ASD
1 - 1
PAL
53%
22%
24%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
MES
3 - 2
GIU
68%
19%
13%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
MES
2 - 0
PAL
65%
20%
16%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
POR
2 - 2
MES
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
MES
0 - 0
CIT
80%
12%
7%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
GEL
0 - 1
MES
48%
25%
27%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |