ASD Sporting Terni vs AS Deruta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Sporting Terni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ASD
3 - 2
VOL
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
VIT
1 - 1
ASD
53%
24%
23%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ASD
0 - 5
CAS
44%
25%
32%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
TOD
2 - 2
ASD
51%
24%
25%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
ASD
1 - 3
ZAG
68%
18%
14%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
AS Deruta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
DER
2 - 2
SPO
35%
26%
39%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
VOL
1 - 0
DER
41%
25%
34%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
DER
2 - 0
ACS
60%
23%
17%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
VOL
1 - 1
DER
44%
25%
31%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
DER
1 - 1
SSD
61%
22%
18%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |