ASD Sporting Terni vs AS Deruta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
18.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Sporting Terni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
PIA
1 - 0
ASD
52%
23%
25%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ASD
3 - 2
SSD
51%
23%
26%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ACS
2 - 2
ASD
45%
25%
31%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ASD
0 - 0
PON
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
FLA
4 - 4
ASD
46%
25%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
AS Deruta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
DER
1 - 1
ZAG
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
SPO
0 - 2
DER
50%
24%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
DER
0 - 1
PIE
48%
24%
28%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ASD
1 - 1
DER
43%
26%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
DER
1 - 2
ARZ
13%
23%
64%
|
30 | 61 | 31 | 0 |